The 2012 RUFORUM Biennial Conference is the third in the series. The main objective of the Biennial conferences is to provide a platform for agricultural research for development stakeholders in Africa and beyond to actively exchange findings and experiences, while at the same time learning lessons towards improving performance of the agricultural sector and ultimately people’s livelihoods. The biennial conference is RUFORUM’s most comprehensive meeting for the diversity of stakeholers in agriculture. It is especially dedicated to graduate students and their supervisors, grantees in RUFORUM member universities and alumni. It is a platform for peer review, quality control, mentorship, networking and shared learning. The third Biennial Conference was attended by 657 participants.This record contains an extended abstract accepted under the theme of Risk and Vulnerability
Applying Large Area Modelling Approach to Assess the Impacts of Climate Variability and Change: Informing Policy and Adaptation - A review
Abstract:
This review highlights some pertinent methodologies in dealing
with uncertainty in climate projections and how crop models
are increasingly used to support decisions at various levels to
guide food security policy formulation, management and
regulations. Crop models are increasingly being used on a large
spatial scale, often coupled with general circulation models
(GCMs) to assess the impact of climate variability and the effect
of El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on agricultural
production and food security. Therefore, using climate change
projections and crop models in order to understand the impacts
of climate change on rainfed agriculture, especially on cereals
(maize and sorghum), is very helpful to policy makers. Policy
makers need information on the potential impact of climate
change for the next few decades, as they are developing plans
that will affect different sectors. In conclusion, this review
demonstrates the need for calibrating and validating different
crop models to attain the standard climate change impact
assessment methodology for the East Africa region.
Cette étude met en évidence certaines méthodologies
pertinentes pour faire face à l’incertitude dans les projections
climatiques et comment les modèles de culture sont de plus en
plus utilisés pour appuyer les décisions à différents niveaux
pour guider la formulation de la politique de sécurité alimentaire,
la gestion et la réglementation. Les modèles de culture sont de
plus en plus utilisés sur une grande échelle spatiale, souvent
couplés aux modèles généraux de circulation (MGC) pour
évaluer l’impact de la variabilité du climat et l’effet d’Oscillation
australe /El Niño (ENSO) sur la production agricole et lasécurité alimentaire. Par conséquent, l’utilisation des projections
de changements climatiques et des modèles de cultures afin de
comprendre les impacts du changement climatique sur
l’agriculture pluviale, en particulier les céréales (maïs et sorgho),
est très utile pour les décideurs. Les décideurs ont besoin
d’informations sur l’impact potentiel du changement climatique
pour les prochaines décennies, car ils élaborent des plans qui
auront une incidence sur différents secteurs. En conclusion,
cette étude démontre la nécessité pour la calibration et la
validation des différents modèles de cultures pour atteindre la
méthodologie standard d’évaluation de l’impact du changement
climatique pour la région de l’Afrique de l’Est.
Language:
English
Extended abstracts submitted under Risk and Vulnerability
Date of publication:
2012
Country:
Region Focus:
East Africa
Collection:
RUFORUM Conferences and Workshops
Agris Subject Categories:
Agrovoc terms:
Additional keywords:
Licence conditions:
Open Access
Access restriction:
Form:
Printed resource
Publisher:
Notes:
